Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for YASA-20
in Fiji,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone YASA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Fiji,
Exposed population 160 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 259 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (17 Dec 19:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Fiji)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 213 km/h 0.7 m n.a. 2.5
Overall 259 km/h 0.7 m n.a. 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

213 km/h Current Max.

Up to 490000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 12 Dec 2020 12:00 204 2 thousand No people
Green 2 12 Dec 2020 18:00 185 730 thousand No people Fiji
Green 3 13 Dec 2020 00:00 176 330 thousand No people Fiji
Green 4 13 Dec 2020 06:00 176 350 thousand No people Fiji
Green 5 13 Dec 2020 12:00 176 710 thousand No people Fiji
Orange 6 13 Dec 2020 18:00 185 760 thousand 30 thousand Fiji
Red 7 14 Dec 2020 00:00 194 800 thousand 250 thousand Fiji
Red 8 14 Dec 2020 06:00 194 910 thousand 690 thousand Fiji
Red 9 14 Dec 2020 12:00 185 910 thousand 730 thousand Fiji
Red 10 14 Dec 2020 18:00 204 910 thousand 670 thousand Fiji
Red 11 15 Dec 2020 00:00 213 910 thousand 480 thousand Fiji
Red 12 15 Dec 2020 06:00 213 910 thousand 490 thousand Fiji

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 12 Dec 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -13.7, 172.9
GREEN
2 12 Dec 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -14.2, 173.7
GREEN
3 13 Dec 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -15.1, 173.3
GREEN
4 13 Dec 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -15.3, 172.7
GREEN
5 13 Dec 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -15.5, 172.6
GREEN
6 13 Dec 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people -15.7, 172.3
GREEN
7 14 Dec 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people -15.8, 171.9
GREEN
8 14 Dec 2020 06:00 Category 1 120 no people no people -15.8, 171.7
GREEN
9 14 Dec 2020 12:00 Category 1 120 no people no people -15.6, 171.6
GREEN
10 14 Dec 2020 18:00 Category 1 148 no people no people -15.4, 172.1
GREEN
11 15 Dec 2020 00:00 Category 2 157 no people no people -15, 172.4
GREEN
12 15 Dec 2020 06:00 Category 3 194 no people no people -14.9, 173
GREEN
12 15 Dec 2020 18:00 Category 3 204 no people no people -14.7, 173.8
GREEN
12 16 Dec 2020 06:00 Category 4 213 no people 180000 people -14.7, 174.6
GREEN
12 16 Dec 2020 18:00 Category 3 204 3300 people 900000 people -15.3, 176
RED
12 17 Dec 2020 06:00 Category 4 213 490000 people 910000 people -16.3, 177.7
GREEN
12 18 Dec 2020 06:00 Category 2 176 2700 people 910000 people -18.9, 179.8
GREEN
12 19 Dec 2020 06:00 Category 1 148 no people 1500 people -21.8, -179.8
GREEN
12 20 Dec 2020 06:00 Category 1 120 no people no people -23.8, 179.6
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Fiji

Provinces

Region Province Country
Fiji Fiji

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Ba Fiji City 20000 people
Tavua Fiji City 2600 people
Vatukoula Fiji City 10000 people
Korovou Fiji City <1000 people
Suva Fiji Capital 200000 people
Nausori Fiji City 32000 people
Levuka Fiji City 4700 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Turtle Island TTL unknown 0
Ba BFJ unknown 0
Vatukoula VAU unknown 0
Bua BVF unknown 0
Nausori SUV 5 Civ. Paved Yes 6100
Bureta Levuka Air LEV unknown 0
Wakaya Island KAY unknown 0
Koro KXF unknown 0
Ngau NGI unknown 0
Moala MFJ unknown 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Vatia FJVAT Fiji
Suva FJSUV Fiji
Levuka FJLEV Fiji

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Lovoni, Fiji. This height is estimated for 17 Dec 2020 19:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (103 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 12 of 15 Dec 2020 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
17 Dec 2020 19:00 Lovoni Fiji  0.7
17 Dec 2020 19:00 Levuka Fiji  0.7
17 Dec 2020 19:00 Nauouo Fiji  0.7
17 Dec 2020 12:00 Ndenimanu Fiji  0.7
17 Dec 2020 14:00 Naruwai Fiji  0.7
17 Dec 2020 13:00 Nawailevu Fiji  0.7
17 Dec 2020 18:00 Rukuruku Fiji  0.7
17 Dec 2020 19:00 Navuti Fiji  0.7
17 Dec 2020 19:00 Nasaga Fiji  0.7
17 Dec 2020 18:00 Naingani Fiji  0.6
18 Dec 2020 08:00 Andako Fiji  0.6
17 Dec 2020 13:00 Savu Sau Fiji  0.6
17 Dec 2020 13:00 Navinggiri Fiji  0.6
17 Dec 2020 14:00 Rakiraki Fiji  0.6
17 Dec 2020 14:00 Vaileka Fiji  0.6
17 Dec 2020 14:00 Navindamu Fiji  0.5
17 Dec 2020 18:00 Korovou Fiji  0.5
17 Dec 2020 13:00 Koroinasolo Fiji  0.5
17 Dec 2020 17:00 Naimasimasi Fiji  0.5
17 Dec 2020 16:00 Lodoni Fiji  0.5
17 Dec 2020 17:00 Ucunivanua Fiji  0.5
17 Dec 2020 14:00 Ndalomo Fiji  0.5
17 Dec 2020 12:00 Yangganga Fiji  0.5
17 Dec 2020 09:00 Teci Fiji  0.4
17 Dec 2020 09:00 Mbukama Fiji  0.4
17 Dec 2020 17:00 Kasavu Fiji  0.4
17 Dec 2020 13:00 Nanukuloa Fiji  0.4
17 Dec 2020 17:00 Lawaki Fiji  0.4
17 Dec 2020 16:00 Nayavutoka Fiji  0.4
18 Dec 2020 00:00 Vandravandra Fiji  0.4
17 Dec 2020 15:00 Nasau Fiji  0.4
17 Dec 2020 15:00 Nabouwalu Fiji  0.4
17 Dec 2020 20:00 Lauthala Bay Fiji  0.4
17 Dec 2020 20:00 Laucala Fiji  0.4
17 Dec 2020 17:00 Cautata Fiji  0.4
17 Dec 2020 09:00 Matayalevu Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 09:00 Matacawalevu Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 09:00 Sisili Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 09:00 Nacula Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 14:00 Nagumu Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 20:00 Tamavua Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 17:00 Nausori Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 13:00 Vatutandova Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 19:00 Suva Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 09:00 Navotua Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 09:00 Tamusua Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 18:00 Makongai Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 16:00 Dromuna Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 22:00 Vione Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 15:00 Nanduri Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 09:00 Soso Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 09:00 Somosomo Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 10:00 Yasawairara Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 20:00 Nasilai Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 20:00 Lokia Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 22:00 Sawaieke Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 05:00 Tavua Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 15:00 Thavanga Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 12:00 Waisa Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 21:00 Kalokolevu Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 12:00 Korosi Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 12:00 Naweni Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 20:00 Nathamaki Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 13:00 Viani Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 06:00 Nalauwaki Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 21:00 Pacific Harbour Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 12:00 Korotasere Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 12:00 Nakarambo Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 21:00 Matavuralevu Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 20:00 Yanutha Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 03:00 Tavua Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 21:00 Rave-rave Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 16:00 Vunivatu Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 16:00 Ndawara Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 16:00 Natua Fiji  0.1
18 Dec 2020 06:00 Vanuavatu Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 19:00 Qeleni Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 16:00 Nukusa Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 22:00 Dalice Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 20:00 Nakondu Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 20:00 Nasau Fiji  0.1
18 Dec 2020 00:00 Nabouwalu Fiji  0.1
18 Dec 2020 05:00 Keteira Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 13:00 Ndrekeniwai Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 13:00 Biagunu Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 16:00 Savusavu Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 16:00 Naindi Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 21:00 Ndaria Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 22:00 Waisomo Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 21:00 Dakuimbeqa Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 20:00 Lalati Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 19:00 Navua Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 19:00 Naitionitoni Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 18:00 Mau Fiji  0.1
18 Dec 2020 03:00 Vabea Fiji  0.1
18 Dec 2020 03:00 Nukuvou Fiji  0.1
18 Dec 2020 06:00 Namuka Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 11:00 Malake Fiji  0.1
18 Dec 2020 00:00 Lautoka Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 20:00 Galoa Fiji  0.1
18 Dec 2020 01:00 Namara Fiji  0.1
18 Dec 2020 03:00 Gasele Fiji  0.1
18 Dec 2020 03:00 Soso Fiji  0.1